Posts by Samantha Jason Lehman

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Bubble Alert? Is it Getting Too Easy to Get a Mortgage?

There is little doubt that it is easier to get a home mortgage today than it was last year. The Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI), published by the Mortgage Bankers Association, shows that mortgage credit has become more available in each of the last several years.

In fact, in just the last year:

  • More buyers are putting less than 20% down to purchase a home
  • The average credit score on closed mortgages is lower
  • More low-down-payment programs have been introduced

This has some people worrying that we are returning to the lax lending standards which led to the boom and bust that real estate experienced ten years ago. Let’s alleviate some of that concern.

The graph below shows the MCAI going back to the boom years of 2004-2005. The higher the graph line, the easier it was to get a mortgage.

Bubble Alert! Is it Getting Too Easy to Get a Mortgage? | MyKCM

As you can see, lending standards were much more lenient from 2004 to 2007. Though it has gradually become easier to get a mortgage since 2011, we are nowhere near the lenient standards during the boom.

The Urban Institute also publishes a Home Credit Availability Index (HCAI). According to the Institute, the HCAI:

“Measures the percentage of home purchase loans that are likely to default—that is, go unpaid for more than 90 days past their due date. A lower HCAI indicates that lenders are unwilling to tolerate defaults and are imposing tighter lending standards, making it harder to get a loan. A higher HCAI indicates … it is easier to get a loan.”

Here is a graph showing their findings:

Bubble Alert! Is it Getting Too Easy to Get a Mortgage? | MyKCM

Again, today’s lending standards are nowhere near the levels of the boom years. As a matter of fact, they are more stringent than they were even before the boom.

Bottom Line

It is getting easier to gain financing for a home purchase. However, we are not seeing the irresponsible lending that caused the housing crisis.  We’re also seeing less new construction and new homes entering the market, which is keeping inventory levels extremely low. While the demand for homes and new buyers entering the marketing continues to grow. With new companies moving into the Boston market, it’s predicted that 2018 will continue to be another busy year for Boston real estate.

Low Interest Rates Have a High Impact on Your Purchasing Power

According to Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey, interest rates for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage are currently at 3.92%, which is still near record lows in comparison to recent history!

The interest rate you secure when buying a home not only greatly impacts your monthly housing costs, but also impacts your purchasing power.

Purchasing power, simply put, is the amount of home you can afford to buy for the budget you have available to spend. As rates increase, the price of the house you can afford will decrease if you plan to stay within a certain monthly housing budget.

The chart below shows what impact rising interest rates would have if you planned to purchase a home within the national median price range, and planned to keep your principal and interest payments between $1,850-$1,900 a month.

Low Interest Rates Have a High Impact on Your Purchasing Power | Simplifying The Market

With each quarter of a percent increase in interest rate, the value of the home you can afford decreases by 2.5% (in this example, $10,000). Experts predict that mortgage rates will be closer to 5% by this time next year. The values of homes in the Boston area, particularly in Downtown Boston continue to rise month over month – supply is at an all time low. Act now to get the most house for your hard-earned money.

“… a genuine pleasure to work with.”

We have now worked with Samantha on two separate residential real estate transactions and I would share with you that she was very competent, knowledgeable and professional in all aspects of her field. She is confident, experienced, has a can-do attitude, and is very thorough when it comes to details and follow through. She was also a good problem solver when needed and a genuine pleasure to work with. We would recommend her to anyone in the market buying or selling a residential property and will definitely call upon her again.

S. Prusank – Buyer and Seller Client

“… the offers came quickly.”

From the first meeting with Samantha, I knew that I found the perfect real estate professional to market my condo. She is professional, down to earth, knowledgeable about the various Boston  neighborhoods, and is highly responsive. Samantha was also very respectful of my needs and also knew the right time to step in when I needed guidance or advice on the selling process. I had a tenant living in the condo at the time it was placed on the market and Samantha could not have been more respectful and patient with the tenant. I truly enjoyed working with Samantha. The process was seamless, the marketing materials were beautifully designed and the offers came quickly. If you are looking to put your home on the market, I recommend Samantha Jason.

M. Mihos – Seller Client